Tag Archives: pepecash

My Bitcoin and Crypto Portfolio: the 5th issue

Published / by kgao

Things just get crazier, don’t they? Here’s my April performance against benchmarks:​

Currently these assets are more than 1% of my portfolio:

  • BTC: 50%
  • ETH: 19%
  • XEM: 11%
  • DASH: 3%
  • ZCL: 3%
  • PEPECASH: 2%
  • XMR: 2%
  • XRP: 1%
  • BTS: 1%

I like to review my investment theses and see what needs an update. The success of Ripple is the biggest outlier. It’s currently #2 on CMC and has gone up 10x in just the last month. Whether a pump or playing catchup, XRP’s performance makes me question two price drivers I used to deem important:

1. Token supply mechanics (percent of supply issued, predictability of the issuance rate, current and expected inflation)

2. Degree of decentralization (with respect to the team, to its sources of funding, to its transparency in everything from source code to operations). Perhaps in these times of continued Bitcoin scaling uncertainty, the market is moving to centralized assets (in addition to XRP, other examples include XEM, DASH, assets like FACTOM and STEEM)

Then again the Ripple bubble could soon burst and upend these observations.

Recommended reads:

  • My Medium essay on how Pepe the frog became a very interesting cryptocurrency and trading card community [link]
  • Token sales / ICOs and their pros and cons [link]
  • The Siacoin team explains why the cryptocurrency market cap indicator is misleading [link]. Jimmy Song shares a related perspective on Bitcoin’s dominance index [link]
  • One person’s thoughtful and balanced story of how they got into cryptocurrency investing and lessons learned [link]

Thanks for reading!

Kevin (@kgao)

3 branches of BTC “governance”:
–Full Nodes (can veto miners & devs)
–Miners (can veto devs)
–Devs (can help others bypass some vetoes)
-Jameson Lopp (@lopp)

The 4th Bitcoin and Crypto Portfolio Letter

Published / by kgao

Hi everyone, it’s been awhile since I sent an update. But if the crypto market continues to perform the way it has, I should probably just shut up 🙂

The following assets represent >1% of my current portfolio:

  • Bitcoin: 57%
  • Ether: 23%
  • NEM / XEM: 6%
  • Dash: 4%
  • ZClassic: 1%
  • Pepecash: 1%
  • Monero: 1%

And these assets are sub-1%: Litecoin LTC, Ethereum Classic ETC, Zcash ZEC, Decred DCR, Emercoin EMC, Counterparty XCP, Aeon AEON, Storjcoin SJCX, Ripple XRP, and Bitshares BTS.

A few weeks ago I sent a summary of investment theses. Thanks to those who gave feedback and asked questions and challenged my thinking.

The crypto market is doing very well. My cautious prediction was $100B USD total market cap by 2020 but we may see that before this year is over! Regardless of whether or not this constitutes a “bubble”, I think the fundamentals of crypto are stronger than ever. Innovation. Experimentation. Talent. Growth in multiple use cases. Software is eating the world, and crypto is eating money.

My investment strategy is currently a mix of:

1. Hold big positions in the leading assets with the strongest fundamentals – eg, BTC and ETH. My target is probably closer to 50% BTC instead of the 57% today

2. Take sizable “flyer” bets on interesting assets that could see breakout price growth in the next 3-6 months – eg, ZCL and Pepecash (I’m writing a separate long essay on Pepecash to clarify my thinking and explain what the hell it’s all about, but it’s perhaps the only asset I actually enjoy following, as opposed to most of the rest in which greed now predominates)

3. Diversify into different use cases of coins and assets because long-term, we don’t know who will win and what use cases will prove popular – Dash for its marketing and self-funding and potential to cross the chasm, NEM for its Asia presence and hybrid of private + public chains and quietly competent development team

I still need to calculate my April returns versus benchmarks and will share that when it’s ready.

Two general interest links for you to read:

“We have the tech of 93 combined with the hype of 99.” – Sergej Kotliar

Cheers!

Kevin